• Blackmist@feddit.uk
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        9
        ·
        3 days ago

        Yeah, Black Monday and similar in the Dot Com Bubble, the Sub Prime Mortgage crisis, and COVID.

        But these are events that got named. BTC loses a chunk of value it’s just Tuesday.

        Have some in your portfolio, sure. But all crypto added together has a similar market cap to Microsoft or Apple, and when BTC dips, all the other crypto follows it.

      • LittleBorat3@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        4
        ·
        3 days ago

        Depends on the time window you look, if the shorter time windows and volatilities get you exited, you are an idiot and should not invest in anything.

        BTC has an upward trend over the last 10 years. That’s what people should look at IMHO.

        • sfjvvssss@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          3
          ·
          3 days ago

          Volatility can be measured. There is no way to say BTC is not volatile. Historic charts also will not help predicting the future.

        • ipkpjersi@lemmy.ml
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          1
          ·
          3 days ago

          Sure, I was just confused by the time period of which there was a 10% drop in BTC price - it’s now up 0.87% today, down 5.54% over the past 5 days, up 1.24% over the past month, and up 37% over the past 6 months, none of those are down 10%.

  • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    118
    arrow-down
    1
    ·
    4 days ago

    People in 2020: “I’m buying at the bottom of a market, I hope I get 30% yoy returns for the next five years”

    People in 2025, last week: “Omg, it happened! I’ve more than doubled my money in less than five years!!! Crazy!!!”

    People yesterday, after a 5% market correction: “I’m destitute”

        • marcos@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          15
          ·
          4 days ago

          Well, that is the strategy of the average active investor.

          Do not be the average active investor.

            • Clent@lemmy.dbzer0.com
              link
              fedilink
              English
              arrow-up
              1
              ·
              3 days ago

              People who say index funds are the same type or person who would have suggested certificates of deposit 30 years ago. Neither will beat the market, ever.

              Invest with someone who has fiduciary responsibility and pay the same fees as a index fund but beat the market.

    • sobchak@programming.dev
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      6
      ·
      4 days ago

      Options and margin day-traders/gamblers. Single day declines like that on index funds are pretty rare (or used to be), so some people may bet against it thinking it’s a “sure thing,” that they wouldn’t lose too much money if it’s a more normal 0.5% decline. Some trades could cause people to lose all their money (and more) on such declines.

  • altphoto@lemmy.today
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    14
    ·
    4 days ago

    I hope someone takes my retirement and invests it on bitcoin. I don’t want to live much longer past my useful life. A good heart attack could do the trick.

      • CoyoteFacts@piefed.ca
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        23
        arrow-down
        1
        ·
        4 days ago

        I’d definitely start considering inflation. If your money is stagnant and not earning interest, it is shedding value. Like it or not, we’re all inherently playing the game; it’s in everyone’s best interest to learn the rules.

        • Trainguyrom@reddthat.com
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          10
          ·
          4 days ago

          High interest savings accounts are still offering 3-4% or more. It’s a good spot to park your emergency fund. $600/year just for storing 15k ain’t bad at all plus it’s all FDIC insured (and you can also invest some of it into CDs if you’re willing to lock that money away for a couple of years in exchange for a higher interest rate)

          • CoyoteFacts@piefed.ca
            link
            fedilink
            English
            arrow-up
            6
            ·
            4 days ago

            E-Fund, yes, for sure put that in an HYSA so that you can access it when needed. However, if a person is keeping non-E-fund money out of the market for fear of volatility, they’re actually technically undertaking a larger risk than being in the market because their money will never outpace inflation, whereas investing in a low-cost broad index fund has an extremely high chance to outpace inflation over a 5-10+ year horizon. Not to mention that when an investor undertakes market risk they’re also getting a positive risk-adjusted return in exchange for doing so.

            Also, keep in mind that HYSAs don’t always offer such high rates every year, whereas inflation will always be present. And despite the “official” inflation numbers being around 3%, my actual expenses say otherwise, so I’d still be eyeing 3-4% as treading water at best.

            If at all possible, get the snowball rolling on compound interest and let gravity do the rest; your future self will thank you to bits. Head over to one of the finance communities and they should set you straight. Personal finance is effectively a solved math problem; there’s really only one good answer that people will give you as long as they’re not trying to reach into your pockets for a cut, and the skill required to invest is zero. All you need is any amount of extra cash every month to pack onto the snowball. Time is by far the most valuable part of investing, so the earlier you start, the less of your cash you need to invest to get the same outcome: a reasonable retirement age with a body that isn’t burnt-out.

    • There was a drop of about 3% on Friday because of rumors of tariffs/insider trading. Trump waited for markets to close on Friday to officially announce it. But futures don’t look bad anyways.

      Also Crypto fluctuation, as usual, have been more than that. Bitcoin is only down like 7% over the last week and 3.4% over the last 3 months, but its up like 80% YOY, so hardly a problem if this has been a long-term thing.

      • rainwall@piefed.social
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        11
        ·
        edit-2
        4 days ago

        Bitcoin didn’t drop much, but lots of alt coins dropped 90% or more. The memes are manly coming from accounts that lost it all on those alt coins, sometimes in the millions. One of the big cases lost 30 million Friday.

        See here for some schadenfreude

    • Mr. Satan@lemmy.zip
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      12
      ·
      3 days ago

      People are dumb. Currency cannot work if it’s not used as a currency. Cryptobros “investing” in it are the dumb ones, trading currency as it’s stocks or something (not to mention, that stocks are dumb as well). How can it not be volatile?

          • Knock_Knock_Lemmy_In@lemmy.world
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            1
            ·
            3 days ago

            What makes them stable?

            They are backed by treasury bonds

            And how has that stability been more stable than tech stocks?

            They are comparable to other company bonds. Much more stable than shares.

            • squaresinger@lemmy.world
              link
              fedilink
              arrow-up
              2
              ·
              3 days ago

              They are backed by treasury bonds

              Except when they aren’t.

              So many examples of stable coins just being a delayed rug-pull that collapses as soon as people pull out their money and it turns out that they aren’t backed by anything at all.

              At best they work like putting regular money in a bank. At worst they work like putting money in a “bank” but the bank is some shady anonymous dude from the internet with no oversight whatsoever.

              You don’t trust a bank because it could be mismanaged and greedy bankers could steal your money? Why on earth would you trust an anonymous rando more?

              It’s like those people who don’t trust “big pharma” and instead eat supplements they bought from India via the internet by the kilogram.

              • Knock_Knock_Lemmy_In@lemmy.world
                link
                fedilink
                arrow-up
                2
                ·
                edit-2
                2 days ago

                Oh yes. Not all stablecoins are good. But the original point was that crypto was dumb because it was volatile.

                USDC is backed by banks and is regularly audited. They are not shady or anonymous.

                The downside is that it is that stablecoin are not federally insured, although USDC accounts were bailed out when SVB went bust.

      • justadudeingear@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        3
        arrow-down
        2
        ·
        3 days ago

        Blame the first fork. Bitcoin Cash would have had a sticker on every cash register but wall street came in and stanned the lightning network now transaction fees are impossible to use it other than a fancy money gram.

        • NotMyOldRedditName@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          1
          ·
          edit-2
          3 days ago

          Most people will never really understand what happened back then, it’s so disheartening, it’s like society was just about to reach up to the stars, and was curb stomped back to the ground.

        • infinitesunrise@slrpnk.net
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          3
          arrow-down
          1
          ·
          edit-2
          3 days ago

          I do think the entirety of capitalism is dumb. Hierarchies that obscure, enable, and aggrandize violence are lame.

      • veni_vedi_veni@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        8
        arrow-down
        3
        ·
        3 days ago

        The difference is that first currency is backed by nation state trust.

        Crypto is touted as independent of that, except we’ve seen that’s not really the case in recent years. So yea, what’s the point then of crypto?

            • infinitesunrise@slrpnk.net
              link
              fedilink
              English
              arrow-up
              1
              ·
              edit-2
              3 days ago

              There’s only one kind of violence: The kind where a party uses power to deprive another party of a current or potential freedom. We tend to conflate violence with physical force, and much of it is that, but it isn’t limited to that nor are the means of the nation state.

              (To be clear the user above conflated capitalism with fiat currency, this answer works for both)

        • Electricd@lemmybefree.net
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          4
          arrow-down
          1
          ·
          edit-2
          3 days ago

          You can pay and get paid on the internet with it. No ID required. No blocked transactions (if you don’t go through companies, or use the right crypto). Anonymous and confidential payments on the internet that can be withdrawn or used without too many problems, with the coins made for that.

          P2P online payments without going through some kind of company is not possible without crypto. There’s just no alternative.

          You can accept donations without revealing personal information about yourself…

          Do I need to go on?

          • percent@infosec.pub
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            3
            ·
            3 days ago

            I used it to send some money to a friend in another country.

            The fees from the more “conventional” services were really expensive to send money between our two countries, for some reason (government [dis]agreements, I assume).

            I just sent crypto instead. It was much cheaper and simpler.

      • InternetCitizen2@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        3
        arrow-down
        2
        ·
        3 days ago

        if it wasn’t so hard to buy or pay with it tho, that’d be great.

        I think this makes it a funny thing about libertarian ideals. The way people interact with it is ultimately in centralized and KYC compliant exchanges. As far as I know its not illegal to not use them, but people do for simplicity. Microcosm of the idea that market winners entrench to promote their version at the detriment of the markets freedom.

        • Zetta@mander.xyz
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          5
          ·
          3 days ago

          Unfortunately, Know Your Customer has done a lot of damage to privacy, but there’s still a lot of exchanges where you can get Monroe with Bitcoin without Know Your Customer. And since Monroe is actually truly anonymous, you have a truly anonymous currency at that point.

          And the Monroe developers are working on making atomic exchanges work better, which are peer-to-peer trading of coins with low overhead and fees because it’s direct. No middleman.

        • stabby_cicada@slrpnk.net
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          5
          ·
          3 days ago

          If the Trump administration, and especially Project 2025, have taught America anything, it’s that libertarians don’t fucking have ideals.

          Libertarians spouted propaganda about small government and free speech and privacy until conservative authoritarians took power. And then they cheered while conservative authoritarians built the most extensive police state and government surveillance apparatus in American history and began arresting people for writing op-eds and posting memes.

          Libertarians, like Republicans, never actually supported small government or free speech or the privacy of citizens. They deployed the rhetoric of small government and free speech and privacy as weapons to attack liberals and prevent Democratic administrations from pursuing their policy goals. Now that conservatives are in power, those weapons are no longer useful, and libertarians have discarded them.

          Libertarian “ideals” were weapons against Democratic government, and they were never anything else.

          And to get back to your point: of course libertarians spout rhetoric about financial privacy while keeping cryptocurrency in centralized KYC exchanges. Because crypto was never about privacy as an ideal. It was about bypassing financial regulations, laundering money, dodging taxes, grifting, scamming normies, and gambling on pumps and dumps. Crypto bros talk a good game about privacy and independence to shield themselves from regulation and make themselves look legitimate. Anyone who actually believes that crap is a useful idiot that probably lost all their money in a cryptoscam.

      • Electricd@lemmybefree.net
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        3
        ·
        3 days ago

        Sadly in this world, you either use your tools or you’re used by your tools.

        Easy often rythmes with you being fucked over in some way. Windows and Linux, privacy, open source vs centralized and closed source… you have to learn it, but once you do, there’s just nothing better

      • sfjvvssss@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        2
        ·
        3 days ago

        Well, every second you “miss out” on going all-in on the highest leverage possible and win. Afterwards you always know better so don’t be sad about it. Back then it was probably even more risky than it is now, so depending on your risk tolerance and investment goals it was probably right to miss it.

        • HugeNerd@lemmy.ca
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          1
          arrow-down
          1
          ·
          3 days ago

          Well, thanks, I guess I’ll read that comment again when I eat my cold leftovers for supper tonight…

          • sfjvvssss@lemmy.world
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            4
            ·
            3 days ago

            Just imagine you invested sum X back then. Who knows if you would still hold it. Maybe you would have made 10 into 100 $ and quit or shifted some into another crypto and lost it there, maybe you would have gambled with derivates which then did not perform as well. Picking single investments is basically gambling. I know this won’t make your leftovers taste better but try not to blame yourself for decisions that were 50/50 bets at best.

      • A_Chilean_Cyborg@feddit.cl
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        1
        ·
        3 days ago

        Is a bubble, cripto exists for the sake of cripto, eventually all of it is gonna collapse, specially when only a tiny fraction of it is used for transactions.

        • HugeNerd@lemmy.ca
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          1
          ·
          3 days ago

          I could have gotten in very early, for almost no money.

          But hey, clipping coupons for pasta and going to the thrift store is cool too.

  • Destide@feddit.uk
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    8
    ·
    3 days ago

    It’s fine just the monthly pump and dump you didn’t benefit though so enjoy the extra cost as funds just got shifted again